Projected heat-related mortality under climate change in the metropolitan area of Skopje
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Projected temperature-related deaths in ten large U.S. metropolitan areas under different climate change scenarios.
BACKGROUND There is an established U-shaped association between daily temperature and mortality. Temperature changes projected through the end of century are expected to lead to higher rates of heat-related mortality but also lower rates of cold-related mortality, such that the net change in temperature-related mortality will depend on location. OBJECTIVES We quantified the change in heat-, c...
متن کاملProjected change in global fisheries revenues under climate change
Previous studies highlight the winners and losers in fisheries under climate change based on shifts in biomass, species composition and potential catches. Understanding how climate change is likely to alter the fisheries revenues of maritime countries is a crucial next step towards the development of effective socio-economic policy and food sustainability strategies to mitigate and adapt to cli...
متن کاملHeat-related mortality risk model for climate change impact projection.
OBJECTIVES We previously developed a model for projection of heat-related mortality attributable to climate change. The objective of this paper is to improve the fit and precision of and examine the robustness of the model. METHODS We obtained daily data for number of deaths and maximum temperature from respective governmental organizations of Japan, Korea, Taiwan, the USA, and European count...
متن کاملVariability in Temperature-Related Mortality Projections under Climate Change
BACKGROUND Most studies that have assessed impacts on mortality of future temperature increases have relied on a small number of simulations and have not addressed the variability and sources of uncertainty in their mortality projections. OBJECTIVES We assessed the variability of temperature projections and dependent future mortality distributions, using a large panel of temperature simulatio...
متن کاملProjections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
Background Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates. Methods We collected observed daily time series of mean...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: BMC Public Health
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1471-2458
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-016-3077-y